Global Intel Hub is a site dedicated to intelligence and analysis, and prepping (including financial prepping). Hurricanes are part of nature and if you live or have a business in an affected area, we have prepared a list of resources to help guide your Hurricane Prep. Print this page in case you don’t have access to the internet. The URL of this page is www.globalintelhub.com/hurricane-prep
NHC Live Updates
Prep Guides and More
http://pleaseorderit.com/hurricane-prep Order supplies such as food, fuel, first aid, and full emergency kits
https://www.ready.gov/hurricanes The official USG Hurricane Prep page
South Carolina Hurricane Guide 2019 2019-hurricane-guide_website
Share this page on Twitter #Dorian2019
Evacuation Zones and Maps
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/#Dorian Official National Hurricane Center (NHC) page for Dorian
https://www.floridadisaster.org/knowyourzone/ Florida Know your Zone and Hurricane Prep info
https://www.scemd.org/prepare/know-your-zone/ South Carolina Know your Zone and Hurricane Prep info
Hurricane Prep Supplies
Tools & Trackers
Live Update Pages
Dorian Specific https://www.reddit.com/r/HurricaneDorian
Live Updates from NHC/NOAA
Active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic, Caribbean, and the Gulf of Mexico
000 WTNT45 KNHC 220247 TCDAT5 Tropical Storm Sebastien Discussion Number 11 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL202019 1100 PM AST Thu Nov 21 2019 Sebastien continues to produce a central dense overcast and a large band on the southeastern side of the circulation. Recent scatterometer data indicate that the maximum winds are at least 45 kt and, since there has been little overall change in the satellite presentation within the past several hours, the initial wind speed will stay 50 kt. Two notable changes have been made on this forecast. As foreshadowed in the previous forecast, the models are no longer rapidly accelerating the storm to the northeast ahead of a mid-latitude trough. Instead, there is better agreement tonight on a steadier motion to the northeast due to the trough in the short term. Sebastien will then continue moving northeastward embedded in the mid-latitude southwesterly flow over the weekend. The new forecast is substantially slower than the last one, but is still on the faster side of the guidance due to continuity concerns. The second significant change is that Sebastien is no longer expected to become a hurricane. The cyclone will soon be moving over sub-26C waters with strong shear, and it seems unlikely to intensify much in these conditions. Model intensity guidance continues to decrease, and the NHC forecast follows that trend. Weakening should start by the weekend over even cooler waters in a high-shear environment, and these factors are forecast to cause Sebastien to transition into a non-convective low or extratropical cyclone in 36-48 h. Careful watchers of the forecast will note that NHC has predicted extratropical transition at 48 h since Sebastien was born over 48 h ago, and this timing has been pushed back primarily due to the slower-than-expected motion. Thus, this timing can't be considered a particularly confident prediction until the track forecast becomes more consistent. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 22/0300Z 24.7N 57.8W 50 KT 60 MPH 12H 22/1200Z 26.0N 55.5W 55 KT 65 MPH 24H 23/0000Z 28.0N 51.7W 55 KT 65 MPH 36H 23/1200Z 30.3N 47.7W 45 KT 50 MPH 48H 24/0000Z 32.7N 43.4W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 72H 25/0000Z 37.5N 34.0W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 96H 26/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Blake
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 22 Nov 2019 02:46:38 GMT
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 22 Nov 2019 02:46:38 GMT
685 FONT15 KNHC 220246 PWSAT5 TROPICAL STORM SEBASTIEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202019 0300 UTC FRI NOV 22 2019 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SEBASTIEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT SANTA CRUZ AZO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
000 WTNT25 KNHC 220245 TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM SEBASTIEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202019 0300 UTC FRI NOV 22 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 57.8W AT 22/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 0NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......120NE 140SE 50SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 90SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 57.8W AT 22/0300Z AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 58.6W FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 26.0N 55.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 60SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT...120NE 140SE 60SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 28.0N 51.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 60SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT...100NE 140SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 30.3N 47.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 140SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 32.7N 43.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...100NE 150SE 120SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 37.5N 34.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 120SE 90SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.7N 57.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
000 WTNT35 KNHC 220245 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Sebastien Advisory Number 11 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL202019 1100 PM AST Thu Nov 21 2019 ...SEBASTIEN MOVING FASTER WITH NO CHANGE IN INTENSITY... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.7N 57.8W ABOUT 565 MI...905 KM NE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Sebastien was located near latitude 24.7 North, longitude 57.8 West. Sebastien is moving toward the northeast near 18 mph (30 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue with an increase in forward speed during the next few days. Maximum sustained winds remain near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast overnight, with weakening beginning by the weekend. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Blake
ABNT20 KNHC 212314
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2019
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Sebastien, located several hundred miles north-northeast of
the northern Leeward Islands.
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
Hurricane Kit/Ride Out Items
Flashlight(s), Lantern(s) (1 per person)
Extra bulbs for flashlights / lanterns (IF APPLICABLE)
Collapsible water containers (enough for 7 days at 1 gal/day per person)
Portable radio and/or TV (I have Auvio 3.5″ that uses AA batteries)
At least 2 sets of extra batteries for all electronic devices
Digital antenna for TV (if you have a generator)
First aid kit
Corded telephone with long cord
Toolkit – hammer, screw drivers, pliers and assorted nails/screws
Fire extinguisher (ABC type)
Manual can opener
Blue tarp (15x20ft) and 100ft rope or cord
Eye protection glasses
Automobile power inverter
Rain gear (poncho/raincoat)
Matches / lighter
Plastic garbage bags
5-gal gas cans (2-4) for car/generator WITH funnel (if needed)
Battery-powered alarm clock (can use cell phone)
Outdoor extension cords (2-3 50ft)
Small window AC unit
Generator and 4-8 quarts of extra oil
Tree saw / axe / hatchet (Especially important if you are prone to flooding. Keep in attic.)
5-Watt USB Solar Charger (Huge for keeping phones charged)
Plywood Tapcons Washers Mason bits Plylox window clips
Tarps, Plastic Sheeting, & Tie downs
Music playing device (Bluetooth speaker) if your power situation is good
Prescription medications (2-4 week supply)
Non-prescription drugs (aspirin or non-aspirin pain reliever)
Mosquito repellent / sunscreen
Pet medications (2-4 week supply)
Pet cage (if traveling with pet)
Emergency phone numbers
Important documents (insurance/passports/Soc. Security card, medical records)
Home PC backup disks/drive
$100-$300 in extra cash (small bills)
Extra set of car/house keys
Personal hygiene items (toothpaste, deodorant, shampoo, soap)
Toys/games for kids (deck of cards)
Dawn Dish Soap
Food / Water:
Water – 1-2 gal/person for 7 days
Nonperishable food – enough for 7 days
Canned goods (fruit/vegetables/soup/meat/tuna/beans)
Energy bars / breakfast bars
Snacks (cookies / crackers / chips / nuts / candy)
Boxed juices / energy drinks
Dry & canned pet food
Camp stove and extra fuel
Extra charcoal/propane for BBQ pit
Paperwork, all in one place:
Social security cards
Marriage or divorce papers
Medical records or prescription info
Any insurance you might have
Home mortgage paperwork
Vehicle registrations and titles
One copy of any monthly bills you pay, water, garbage, electric, gas, cable tv, credit cards, phones, etc…
401K, IRAs, etc…
One copy of any bank statements
Military paperwork if applicable
Copy of last 5 years tax returns
Lastly, get a picture of everything you own on a memory stick.
News Articles about #Dorian2019
DORIAN FURY GRAND BAHAMA...
MAX WINDS 150 MPH...
MOVEMENT WNW 1 MPH...
WATCH AND WAIT; NOW CAT 4...
13,000+ houses affected...
'It's just shredded'...
THISCLOSE; NEXT TURN CRITICAL FOR USA...
COMPUTER MODELS... CONE... RADAR... SATELLITE... DETAILS...
STORM CHASER UPDATE...
DESANTIS: 'Perilously Close' To FL...
Millions ordered to evacuate...
WATCH AND WAIT; NOW CATASTROPHIC CAT 5...
Dorian strikes with record fury...
200+ MPH GUSTS...
THISCLOSE; NEXT TURN CRITICAL FOR USA...
Mandatory evacuation ordered in Palm Beach, including Mar-a-Lago...
'Small deviation of track could bring intense core onto Florida coast'...
Various shared content from #Dorian2019
About this page
This page was created as a single resource for information and prepping for #Dorian2019
Description: The Global Intel Hub Hurricane Prep Page includes features such as Printable Hurricane Kit Prep List, Tools & Trackers such as Gas Buddy shortage app, Live Feed links, Government resources such as NHC update links, Evacuation Zone maps, and more.