Going back to the 'USA is Exceptional' meme- yes this is true! But it's not necessarily a good thing (just like, being positive isn't always good, for example it's not good to be HIV positive). USA has the highest per capita prison population - and is exceptional in a number of areas. USA is number one in terms of real GDP, and last in many other terms. One thing that the USA is last in - FX.
How valuable is software that makes money? Obviously, it’s priceless. How do we value the biggest opaque. Continue reading
(GLOBALINTELHUB) --Trump met with Shinzo Abe friday, the famous inflationist Prime Minister of Japan. The issue. Continue reading
Thanks Bloomberg, for another useless piece of regurgitated info we've known for years; fake news drives the. Continue reading
(GLOBALINTELHUB.COM) 2/10/2017 -- One of the most important points in the new "Trump System" of doing business, is. Continue reading
Trump will soon assume his elected office, and potentially change FX markets forever. Well, it's already happened.. Continue reading
It’s laudable that Trump wants to bring factories back to USA. But how about virtual, monetary factories?. Continue reading
It’s no surprise that the largest employer of mathematicians in the United States is the National Security. Continue reading
A simple plan to boost the American financial markets and bring back unknown billions in US Dollars, and to. Continue reading
Another Conspiracy Theory Becomes Fact: The Fed’s “Stealth Bailout” Of Foreign Banks Goes Mainstream
Back in June 2011, Zero Hedge first posted: "Exclusive: The Fed's $600 Billion Stealth Bailout Of Foreign. Continue reading
An interesting week for the evolution of Forex! Coming just after leading US based intellectuals calling for. Continue reading
The idea of Scottish independence has moved from the implausible to the very possible. Whether or not it actually. Continue reading
Those 4 C’s are: Confirmation, Crisis, Contagion, Catastrophe.
What type of confirmation could send the financial markets into such turmoil it could rock the very bastions of finance as we now know it?
First: Scotland votes yes to leave the U.K. If this turns out to be so, it could send shock-waves throughout the markets that run the world. i.e., Forex or World currencies.
No one with any financial acumen can look seriously at the markets as they stand at the time of this writing, and seriously argue the markets are prepared for such a resolution happening this Thursday.
If Scotland truly does vote Yes and confirms independence from the U.K. the initial shock-waves in my opinion that will hit the markets will be akin to the video we’ve all seen 1000 times when a nuclear device is unleashed with a house being obliterated. Or, the one where trees are bent over near flat to then reverse back the same.
In my humble opinion this could be a metaphor of what could take place. The reason is simple: By proof of the markets as they stand today, it is proof prima facie that everyone (especially so-called “smart crowd”) thinks it won’t happen. And the odds via polling alone show it to be the equivalent of a coin toss!
If this happens it will also confirm something just as real, and quite possibly far more instructive: With both a Federal Reserve meeting being held just days prior to such an event, the language out of this meeting could not be more important.
If it’s some revised boilerplate “till conditions improve, extended period, blah, blah, blah” based press release and conference, it will again confirm what many believed from the start, The Fed is both deaf, blind, and ill prepared to handle what might be an event such as this. An event that has the potential to make the crisis of 2008 the equivalent of a firecracker as opposed to what might be unleashed if Scotland does indeed secede.
The ramifications are truly unknown, unquantifiable, and what might be worse – unmanageable.
Then we move to crisis.
Just how does the Federal Reserve handle such a dilemma of this scale? I use the word “scale” for good reason. As many may know the Forex markets dwarf what the lovingly referred to as “mom and pop investor” believe it to be.
The saving of the “stock market” (aka the Equity Markets) in 2008 vs a Forex market crisis is the equivalent of bailing out a local bingo hall as compared to dealing with such a crisis on the scale of Las Vegas casino.
If the Forex market suddenly gets rocked with a clear fundamental breakdown and breakup of everything now known as the E.U. Along with all the tentacle entangled carry trades? Crisis might be an understatement.
Contagion across the Forex exchanges will not only wreak havoc from within it will also spread directly to the Bond markets. (which many don’t realize is also considerably larger themselves than the equity markets)
Such sweeping turmoil will most assuredly plunge the equity markets themselves into complete and utter chaos as money managers, market makers, margin executives and more decree: “Sell Everything, Close Everything, Now!”
What chaos might also be unleashed as the High Frequency Trading (HFT) algos are set loose selling anything and everything into a market where it’s suddenly revealed via news reading computers that the jig is up?
Or, what no one (and I mean no one!) thought possible till this week. What if this was the week HFT decides to not skirt the laws, but to now – obey them?! i.e., CME Rule 575 as explained by ZeroHedge: These Kinds Of Market-Rigging “Practices” Will No Longer Be Allowed On The CME
This could make the current Ebola crisis and concerns about the speed and severity of contagion look like the sniffles in a kindergarten class.
The panic, fear, mistrust, alienation, ___________(fill in the blank) that holders of what once believed were liquid assets on their books will find out rather quickly nothing runs quicker down the drain than paper gains and wealth.
If all this plays out, what will follow will be a blow to the IPO market and all it has morphed into these last few years with “free money.” So much so that one will think they actually saw Thor’s Hammer. Alibaba™ stands to be “the” poster child for top ticking headlines like never before.
Friday their stock hits the market in what has been touted as one of the most sought after and highly demanded offerings. So much so that they were able to wrap their road show early.
All this in an era of low if not non-existent GDP figures of recent memory. Along with real unemployment, and other metrics screaming recession, however these are adjusted, tweaked or adulterated so much so – it would make a vocal harmonizer jealous.
If Alibaba finds itself trying to release an IPO in this potential melee it will have ramification not only for its own offering, but for every single current high flyer in the markets from now until who knows when. The issue is not just if this happens, but what happens for everything else -if?
A catastrophe is quite possibly in the making. But it is still all in the hands of nothing more than the odds in a flip of a coin. We’ll know more Thursday when Scotland votes. Until then what we truly know is less about what if, and more about – if not.
However we do know a couple of things today that we didn’t know just 5 years ago.
First is, we understand the markets are not what people think they are. Second, the Fed is not as omnipotent as most believe. Third, 70% to 80% of what the “mom and pop” 401K holders think are trades in the markets, is an illusion. Fourth: Everyone, including many of the very professionals that work and breathe Wall Street have learned absolutely nothing since the Lehman crisis.
And what’s maybe more important than all of those combined?
They believe the chances of it repeating are not only nil, they’re betting it wont. Besides they still believe: “The Fed’s got their back!”
Problem is – will the Fed be able to save its own rear end if it does happen? Let alone theirs.
We’ll know soon enough.
The most commonly used introduction in any Forex business for the past 3 years: "US or Non-US" As much of the. Continue reading
Dear valued client,
As you may already have heard, TradeStation has announced an agreement between its IBFX, Inc. and IBFX Australia Pty Ltd subsidiaries, and a subsidiary of FXCM Inc., in which all retail accounts in the “MetaTrader/MT4” division of both IBFX forex subsidiaries will be transferred to FXCM.
Having supported two forex business lines – MT4 and TradeStation – for some time, we have now decided to focus solely on our TradeStation Forex platform offering.
TradeStation’s success over the past 15 years is due in large part to the unique, differentiating features and functions offered by the TradeStation platform, and this move will enable us to focus our resources on continuing that success.
This change will not affect your TradeStation Forex account(s). Should you have any questions, please contact us.
President of IBFX, Inc.
How many times in the last few days have we been told that Turkey - or Ukraine or Venezuela or Argentina - are too. Continue reading
GIH: Latin America should not be disregarded, it was an Asian crisis in 1998 that shook worldwide markets.. Continue reading
In the past we have discussed at length the inevitable demise of the USD as the world's reserve currency noting. Continue reading
GIH: $10 Billion in more taper from the Fed, indicates further tapering. A bold move against the backdrop of the. Continue reading
GIH: Political instability, and nervous investors sparked market chaos today, that impacted stock markets and. Continue reading